Conviction-based backtest across 18 politicians. Ranked by composite score (alpha 30%, Sharpe 25%, return 20%, win rate 15%, trade count 10%).
Last run: 4/9/2026, 2:09:16 AM · 438s runtime · Starting capital: $50,000 · Min buys: 3
| # | Politician | Return | Alpha | Sharpe | Win Rate | Drawdown | Trades | Avg Trade | Period | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael McCaul | +23.1% | +20.7% | 1.73 | 48% | -11.5% | 66 | $58,331 | 2025-09-15 → 2026-04-08 | 0.669 |
| 2 | Joshua Gottheimer | +20.4% | +6.0% | 1.29 | 62% | -8.7% | 42 | $8,000 | 2025-05-16 → 2026-04-08 | 0.603 |
| 3 | David Taylor | +13.8% | +0.5% | 1.15 | 61% | -7.0% | 38 | $8,570 | 2025-06-04 → 2026-04-08 | 0.561 |
| 4 | Rohit Khanna | +0.9% | -0.1% | 1.16 | 52% | -4.2% | 183 | $14,314 | 2026-03-13 → 2026-04-08 | 0.554 |
| 5 | John Boozman | +12.8% | -2.7% | 0.77 | 52% | -12.3% | 60 | $9,126 | 2025-05-15 → 2026-04-08 | 0.542 |
| 6 | John Fetterman | +10.3% | -1.6% | 1.18 | 89% | -5.8% | 9 | $8,000 | 2025-06-11 → 2026-04-08 | 0.536 |
| 7 | Timothy Moore | +8.4% | -4.2% | 0.38 | 62% | -19.4% | 37 | $37,160 | 2025-06-17 → 2026-04-08 | 0.501 |
| 8 | Byron Donalds | +16.6% | +1.2% | 0.89 | 50% | -13.4% | 14 | $10,030 | 2025-05-27 → 2026-04-08 | 0.490 |
| 9 | Gilbert Cisneros | +0.6% | +1.2% | -0.01 | 46% | -7.4% | 200 | $10,270 | 2025-12-17 → 2026-04-08 | 0.489 |
| 10 | Charles Fleischmann | +6.6% | -7.7% | 0.37 | 63% | -6.7% | 24 | $9,633 | 2025-05-16 → 2026-04-08 | 0.463 |
| 11 | Shelley Moore Capito | +8.2% | -11.4% | 0.57 | 78% | -7.7% | 9 | $9,885 | 2025-05-08 → 2026-04-08 | 0.457 |
| 12 | Cleo Fields | +3.6% | -5.0% | 0.04 | 45% | -18.0% | 31 | $103,139 | 2025-07-03 → 2026-04-08 | 0.439 |
| 13 | Richard McCormick | +1.2% | +2.5% | -0.46 | 58% | -3.9% | 24 | $8,000 | 2025-12-11 → 2026-04-08 | 0.438 |
| 14 | Julia Letlow | -3.6% | -1.0% | -2.01 | 33% | -8.6% | 54 | $8,000 | 2026-01-15 → 2026-04-08 | 0.359 |
| 15 | Jonathan Jackson | -4.2% | -19.6% | -1.03 | 65% | -15.4% | 26 | $27,833 | 2025-05-15 → 2026-04-08 | 0.351 |
| 16 | Anthony Wied | -0.3% | -14.6% | -0.68 | 47% | -9.1% | 15 | $81,029 | 2025-05-16 → 2026-04-08 | 0.338 |
| 17 | Lloyd Doggett | +1.4% | -11.6% | -0.61 | 33% | -5.5% | 6 | $8,000 | 2025-06-06 → 2026-04-08 | 0.315 |
| 18 | April McClain Delaney | -8.2% | -29.3% | -1.49 | 38% | -15.5% | 21 | $10,423 | 2025-05-06 → 2026-04-08 | 0.243 |